The T20 World Cup 2024 is set to be one of the most unpredictable tournaments in cricket history. While teams like India, England, and Australia are clear favorites, several underdog squads have the potential to cause major upsets and even lift the trophy.
In this exclusive analysis, we reveal:
✅ 5 dark horse teams that could shock the world
✅ Key players who will make the difference
✅ Why experts are backing these underdogs
✅ Previous tournament performances (Do they have a history of upsets?)
✅ Potential roadblocks in their journey
If you’re looking for surprise contenders beyond the usual suspects, this guide is for you!
🌍 What Makes a Team a “Dark Horse”?
Before we dive in, let’s define what separates a dark horse from an outright favorite:
✔ Underestimated – Not considered a top contender but has hidden strengths.
✔ X-Factor Players – Match-winners who can single-handedly change games.
✔ Recent Form – Strong performances in recent bilateral/T20 leagues.
✔ Favorable Conditions – Pitch & weather that suit their playing style.
Now, let’s look at the 5 teams that fit this description perfectly.
🐎 1. New Zealand – The Silent Assassins
Why They Could Win?
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Balanced Squad: Strong top order (Conway, Mitchell) + deadly bowling (Boult, Ferguson).
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ICC Pedigree: Always perform well in knockouts (2021 T20 WC finalists).
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Spin Options: Ish Sodhi & Mitchell Santner can exploit slow pitches.
Key Player: Glenn Phillips
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A 360-degree batsman who can also keep wickets.
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Recent Form: Scored a 40-ball 80 vs Australia in 2024.
Potential Weakness:
❌ Over-reliance on Kane Williamson – If he fails, the middle order struggles.
👉 New Zealand’s T20 World Cup Squad: Official NZC Announcement
🐎 2. South Africa – The Chokers No More?
Why They Could Win?
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Explosive Batting: De Kock, Markram, Miller can destroy any attack.
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Pace Attack: Rabada & Nortje bowl 145+ kph consistently.
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Young Talent: Tristan Stubbs is a future superstar.
Key Player: Aiden Markram
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Captain + Match-Winner – Led Sunrisers Hyderabad to IPL 2024 playoffs.
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Versatility: Can anchor or accelerate as needed.
Potential Weakness:
❌ History of Collapsing – Still haunted by past ICC tournament failures.
🐎 3. Afghanistan – The Ultimate Underdogs
Why They Could Win?
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Best Spin Trio: Rashid Khan, Mujeeb, Noor Ahmad can strangle opponents.
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Power Hitters: Rahmanullah Gurbaz & Najibullah Zadran.
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Fearless Approach: No pressure = More freedom to attack.
Key Player: Rashid Khan
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World’s Best T20 Bowler – Economy rate of 6.2 in T20Is.
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Captaincy Boost: Now leads the team with tactical brilliance.
Potential Weakness:
❌ Fragile Batting – Struggles against quality pace.
👉 Afghanistan’s Rise in T20 Cricket: ICC Report
🐎 4. West Indies – Home Turf Advantage
Why They Could Win?
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Host Nation – Familiar with Caribbean pitches.
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T20 Specialists: Russell, Pooran, Hetmyer thrive in this format.
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Six-Hitting Ability: Highest team T20 strike rate (165+).
Key Player: Nicholas Pooran
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2024 CPL MVP – Averaged 50+ with a 180 strike rate.
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Wicketkeeper-Batsman: Adds balance to the lineup.
Potential Weakness:
❌ Inconsistent Bowling – Leaks runs in death overs.
🐎 5. Sri Lanka – The Unpredictable Threat
Why They Could Win?
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Asia Cup 2024 Momentum – Reached finals (or won?).
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Mystery Spinners: Wanindu Hasaranga & Maheesh Theekshana.
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Young Guns: Matheesha Pathirana (CSK’s slingy pacer).
Key Player: Wanindu Hasaranga
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2024’s Leading Wicket-Taker in T20Is.
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All-Round Ability: Can bat in crunch situations.
Potential Weakness:
❌ Overdependence on Hasaranga – If he fails, the team struggles.
👉 Sri Lanka’s T20 WC Preparation: Official SLC Update
🏆 Which Dark Horse Has the Best Chance?
Team | Strength | Weakness | Odds |
---|---|---|---|
New Zealand | Experience + Balance | Middle-order fragility | 8/1 |
South Africa | Power Hitters | Knockout nerves | 10/1 |
Afghanistan | Spin Dominance | Weak vs Pace | 20/1 |
West Indies | Home Advantage | Erratic Bowling | 12/1 |
Sri Lanka | Young Talent | Over-reliance on Hasaranga | 15/1 |
Expert Pick: New Zealand (most balanced squad).
Fan Favorite: West Indies (entertainment guaranteed).
🔮 Final Prediction: Will a Dark Horse Win T20 WC 2024?
History says yes! In 2016, West Indies (ranked 7th) won. In 2021, Australia (not favorites) triumphed.
Key Factors That Could Help an Underdog:
✔ Upsets in Group Stage – A top team might get eliminated early.
✔ Pitch Conditions – Slow tracks favor teams like Afghanistan.
✔ Pressure Handling – Dark horses play with “nothing to lose” freedom.
📢 Don’t Underestimate These Teams!
T20 World Cup 2024, While India, England & Australia are favorites, the T20 format is unpredictable. A single over from Rashid Khan or a blitz from Nicholas Pooran can change everything.
Who’s YOUR dark horse pick? Comment below!
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